I was a little annoyed at how simplistic the prediction of Sky’s ‘Race to the PL’ article was, so I thought I’d have a go. Instead of just PPG, I used SoccerSTATS opponents PPG, which uses opponent home PPG for away matches and away PPG for home matches. Then I predicted amount of points that will be gained by the formula: new points = PPG x (Remaining Opponent PPG/ Played Opponent PPG) x matches remaining. I have no idea whether this is correct or not. To split ties I used current GD because I couldn’t be arsed to do anything more.
In the end its basically the same as Sky’s (tho sorry Barnsley) and about equally as useless as predicting the final table.